Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Tue Sep 08 13:18:21 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Meanwhile, our *forecast* gives Trump a 28% chance of winning, and Biden a 72% chance. So the outcome is a long way from certain, despite Biden's current polling lead. Where do Trump's chances come from? https://t.co/ajG88SznSA https://t.co/o2t9OFGEza — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 8, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's after Labor Day! It's no longer "too soon" to look at polls, even you're the type of person who's inclined to be conservative in when you start looking at polls. Joe Biden leads by 7.5 points in our national polling average: https://t.co/cy51vc5isJ https://t.co/1LKeC3qqtW — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 8, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

1. It's a closer race in the Electoral College, with Biden ahead by perhaps 4-5 points in the tipping-point states. 2. Our model expects the race to tighten by a point or so because of improvement in the economy. (cont.) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 8, 2020 Hibernated