Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Sun Aug 30 15:03:14 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Given the lack of polling evidence so far, are there good priors to assume Kenosha will help Trump? I don't know about that either. Consider: 1. The unrest is happening while he is president; 2. Trump's standing in the polls WORSENED in June amid outbreaks of violence; — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 30, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

If we get down to Biden +4/5 or something, that's different, and about the point at which the speculation starts to be justified. But we haven't seen numbers like that yet, and I'm not sure it's particularly likely that we will in the short term. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 30, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

3. Polls show voters give Trump poor marks on protest handling; 4. Polls show voters give Trump poor marks on race relations; 5. Trump is often careless in his messaging and in crisis management. So to me, it seems hard to know how this will play out. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 30, 2020 Hibernated