Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Sun Aug 30 15:03:15 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

3. Polls show voters give Trump poor marks on protest handling; 4. Polls show voters give Trump poor marks on race relations; 5. Trump is often careless in his messaging and in crisis management. So to me, it seems hard to know how this will play out. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 30, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Given the lack of polling evidence so far, are there good priors to assume Kenosha will help Trump? I don't know about that either. Consider: 1. The unrest is happening while he is president; 2. Trump's standing in the polls WORSENED in June amid outbreaks of violence; — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 30, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @mattyglesias: @NateSilver538 Also, something your model does a good job of clarifying is that time is a factor here — every week that p… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 30, 2020 Retweet Hibernated