Tweet by @NateSilver538

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The replies to this are interesting. I suspect most people vastly overestimate the risks of catching COVID given *any one* activity (e.g. going to the grocery store once) but then fail to consider how much the risks accumulate when you're performing these activities *repeatedly*. — PolitiTweet.org

What % risk of getting infected by #COVID19 would you consider to be the same as a "low" risk activity? cc @LizGoldbergMD @ashishkjha

Posted Aug. 29, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In the particular case of the post-RNC polls, I'd say the small Trump bounce in polls so far is about what you might have expected and shouldn't change your view of the race much. But it's very possible to err in either direction and "stop panicking, Dems!" can be a lazy trope. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 29, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'm guessing in my pre-COVID life, I was doing ~35 activities a week that would now be considered at least medium-risk. Most of these are boring: going to the office, riding the subway, eating meals in restaurants, etc. I'm guessing most other people's numbers are similar. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 29, 2020 Hibernated