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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Sat Aug 29 16:45:30 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Agree with everything in this thread. One other technical aside: when measuring a bounce from post-RNC polls, it matters whether you're comparing against polls that were conducted before the conventions or rather in between the conventions, which may have captured Biden's bounce. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

In the context of a bounce, Biden+6 is not a great number for Trump. After all, bounces are usually... bounces. Loo… https://t.co/0fq3B9ryXR

Posted Aug. 29, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

First fully post-convention poll shows a bit of a bounce for Trump. Many other polls surely to follow. — PolitiTweet.org

Morning Consult @MorningConsult

NEW POLL: @realDonaldTrump pulls closer to @JoeBiden after #RNC2020, nearly halving a 10-point deficit to 6 points.… https://t.co/Dwj9ipMBbf

Posted Aug. 29, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Morning Consult, for instance, generally had the race at about Biden +8 before the conventions. Then that gets up to +10 after the DNC. Now it's +6. So does that reflect a 4-point bounce for Trump? I'd say no; it's more like a 2-point bounce + a small Biden bounce wearing off. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 29, 2020 Hibernated