Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Sat Aug 29 16:07:21 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

First fully post-convention poll shows a bit of a bounce for Trump. Many other polls surely to follow. — PolitiTweet.org

NEW POLL: @realDonaldTrump pulls closer to @JoeBiden after #RNC2020, nearly halving a 10-point deficit to 6 points.… https://t.co/Dwj9ipMBbf

Posted Aug. 29, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Majorities of people—even in Sweden! Italy!—think their countries did a good job handling COVID in all countries but the UK and the US. Would seem to suggest an even halfway competent and empathetic response could have been a boon to Trump's re-election. https://t.co/IQit6f6tty https://t.co/Jjn9m9fodg — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 29, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Agree with everything in this thread. One other technical aside: when measuring a bounce from post-RNC polls, it matters whether you're comparing against polls that were conducted before the conventions or rather in between the conventions, which may have captured Biden's bounce. — PolitiTweet.org

In the context of a bounce, Biden+6 is not a great number for Trump. After all, bounces are usually... bounces. Loo… https://t.co/0fq3B9ryXR

Posted Aug. 29, 2020 Hibernated