Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Thu Aug 27 02:15:06 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @Nate_Cohn: There are some valid differences: --538 shifted from 'polls only' to 'polls plus' as default. polls plus in '16 was clinton… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 27, 2020 Retweet Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@BrendanNyhan @gelliottmorris I think it's dishonest for him to conflate our polling average with our forecast when he knows better, but FWIW, it is also not an honest representation of our polling average. We had Clinton up by 6 on this date in 2016, not by 4. https://t.co/sJBHxVdNSS — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@BrendanNyhan @gelliottmorris We've made changes to our polling average algorithm since 2016. Since he looked up what our win probability was in 2016, it would have been more honest of him to also look up and cite what the 2016 version of our polling average was that the win probability was derived from. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 27, 2020 Hibernated