Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Thu Aug 27 02:04:59 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@BrendanNyhan @gelliottmorris I think it's dishonest for him to conflate our polling average with our forecast when he knows better, but FWIW, it is also not an honest representation of our polling average. We had Clinton up by 6 on this date in 2016, not by 4. https://t.co/sJBHxVdNSS — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@BrendanNyhan He is talking about our forecast, because there are no probabilities associated with our polling average. But please post the strawman GIF again without bothering to make sure you got the details right. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @Nate_Cohn: There are some valid differences: --538 shifted from 'polls only' to 'polls plus' as default. polls plus in '16 was clinton… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 27, 2020 Retweet Hibernated