Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Wed Aug 19 17:11:14 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'm not sure elite discourse around lockdowns in March was especially honest with itself about this, especially the likelihood of achieving technological improvements (such as fast-turnaround testing) on a short time frame in countries with poor governance (including the US). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 19, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

* People hate when this is brought up, but part of the problem with suppression via lockdowns is that unless you either achieve eradication (~impossible) or use the time under lockdowns to improve technology (e.g. testing) cases start rising again once you relax the measures. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 19, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@JustinWolfers But people who sat down to in March formally predict what would happen, accounting for factors like policy failures and lack of compliance rather than wishing them away, mostly came up with predictions that are very close to where we are at today. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 19, 2020 Hibernated