
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Like all folks modeling presidential elections, we're forced to use small samples (e.g. n=12) to infer what the broader universe (n=∞) looks like. This is hard! But if you overfit models to past data, you'll often make poor inferences about what unobserved data looks like. — PolitiTweet.org
Natalie Jackson @nataliemj10
Saved you some time and transcribed Nate's assessment of economic predictive models. I presume this means that 53… https://t.co/av5kijtZ5E