Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 25, 2021

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Tue Jul 28 17:25:17 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So we do show an Electoral College vs. popular vote gap that works in Trump's favor, although it's about half as large as in 2016. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 28, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In our snapshot, the tipping-point state is Pennsylvania (Biden +7.2). By comparison, we show Biden up 8.6 points nationally based on our snapshot. (Similar to his margin in national polls, though the snapshot mostly uses state polls.) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 28, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

.@aedwardslevy already stole my joke about likely boater models. — PolitiTweet.org

hey @NateSilver538 -- friendly solicitation for modeling advice. how are you handling differential turnout among boaters

Posted July 28, 2020 Hibernated