Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Tue Jul 28 20:16:36 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

.@aedwardslevy already stole my joke about likely boater models. — PolitiTweet.org

hey @NateSilver538 -- friendly solicitation for modeling advice. how are you handling differential turnout among boaters

Posted July 28, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So we do show an Electoral College vs. popular vote gap that works in Trump's favor, although it's about half as large as in 2016. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 28, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

At the end of the day, it's only July, there are a lot of unprecedented events happening, polling is more accurate than its critics think but probably *not* as accurate as it was in say 2004-2012—and if we wind up in a photo finish, Trump likely wins b/c of the Electoral College. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 29, 2020 Hibernated