Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 25, 2021

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Mon Jul 27 21:37:25 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@jodyavirgan Only one team has had to be quarantined so far! At this rate we'll get at least 10 or 12 games in before they cancel. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

For people wondering what our model actually says about 2020: I don't actually know yet! The programming is mostly done, but processing 2020 is the last step. Making design choices *without* knowing how it'll affect the current forecast is a helpful way to stay at arm's-length. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

One thing about models that use economic data as part of their election forecast is the economy is expected to materially improve by November. We have Trump as a 9-10 point popular vote underdog based on current conditions, but only 4-5 points using projected Nov. conditions. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 28, 2020 Hibernated