Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 25, 2021

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Mon Jul 27 21:31:29 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

For people wondering what our model actually says about 2020: I don't actually know yet! The programming is mostly done, but processing 2020 is the last step. Making design choices *without* knowing how it'll affect the current forecast is a helpful way to stay at arm's-length. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@TheStalwart NYC is instructive because it counts probable deaths, which most places don't (although an increasing number do). In mid-April, probable deaths were 36% of total (confirmed+probable) deaths in NYC. Now that has fallen to 20%. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@jodyavirgan Only one team has had to be quarantined so far! At this rate we'll get at least 10 or 12 games in before they cancel. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 27, 2020 Hibernated