Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 25, 2021

Created

Tue Jul 28 00:09:17 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

One thing about models that use economic data as part of their election forecast is the economy is expected to materially improve by November. We have Trump as a 9-10 point popular vote underdog based on current conditions, but only 4-5 points using projected Nov. conditions. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 28, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@jodyavirgan Only one team has had to be quarantined so far! At this rate we'll get at least 10 or 12 games in before they cancel. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'm not sure that I personally buy the V-shaped recovery story at all, but that's what you get if you use surveys of professional forecasters + the SP&500 (yes, it's predictive of other economic variables like payrolls) + a little bit of mean reversion. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 28, 2020 Hibernated