Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 30, 2020

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Fri Jul 10 20:24:47 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

But the media only considers polls "wrong" if one candidate is ahead and the other one wins, even if the miss is within the margin of error (as it was, more or less, in 2016). If Biden's ahead by 6 in the final polls and wins by 13, nobody will ask what went wrong with the polls. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 10, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

There had been years where polls were fairly far off the mark. In 1980, Reagan was just barely ahead in final polls but won in a landslide. In 1996, Clinton underperformed his polls but still won convincingly. State polls were a bit off in 2000. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 10, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

US daily numbers via @COVID19Tracking: Newly reported deaths Today: 854 Yesterday: 867 One week ago (7/3): 624 Newly reported cases T: 67K* Y: 59K 7/3: 57K Newly reported tests T: 847K* Y: 637K 7/3: 719K Positive test rate T: 7.9% Y: 9.2% 7/3: 8.0% * record — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 10, 2020 Hibernated