Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 30, 2020

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Fri Jul 10 21:34:48 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

US daily numbers via @COVID19Tracking: Newly reported deaths Today: 854 Yesterday: 867 One week ago (7/3): 624 Newly reported cases T: 67K* Y: 59K 7/3: 57K Newly reported tests T: 847K* Y: 637K 7/3: 719K Positive test rate T: 7.9% Y: 9.2% 7/3: 8.0% * record — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 10, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

But the media only considers polls "wrong" if one candidate is ahead and the other one wins, even if the miss is within the margin of error (as it was, more or less, in 2016). If Biden's ahead by 6 in the final polls and wins by 13, nobody will ask what went wrong with the polls. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 10, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I mean... kinda speaks for itself. Looks like deaths are on the rise again and it's not just lingering effects from the holiday weekend. That's what's going to happen if you go from 20K cases a day to 60K+, even if a lower *share* of cases result in deaths than in the spring. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 10, 2020 Hibernated