Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 11, 2020

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Fri Jul 10 13:38:07 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Also, the new cohort of rising cases in ~60% of the country is critical. People *may* have been able to buy into a recovery narrative by November if there had been two seasons' of improvement by then. But now we're also going to have a lost summer and school is dicey for fall. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 10, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I mean, if Trump tomorrow suddenly woke up with [Obama/Romney/insert politician here]'s temperament, said "we screwed up and I'll make this right", actually followed through and did it—then maybe the public *might* give him *some* credit. But, sorry, that ain't going to happen. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 10, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

^^ Nor is it clear that the new cohort of cases is really priced into Trump's polling numbers yet. There actually haven't been that many polls over the past couple of weeks and these things can take a while to sink in. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 10, 2020 Hibernated