Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 11, 2020

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Fri Jul 10 13:22:09 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I mean, if Trump tomorrow suddenly woke up with [Obama/Romney/insert politician here]'s temperament, said "we screwed up and I'll make this right", actually followed through and did it—then maybe the public *might* give him *some* credit. But, sorry, that ain't going to happen. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 10, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Yeah, you can certainly conjure up scenarios where the COVID situation is looking *better* by mid-Fall. But it's hard to imagine scenarios where things feel roughly normal again by then; still likely to be reminders everywhere of a very difficult 8 months for the country. — PolitiTweet.org

Another question is whether the judgement is going to be retroactive and is just baked in now. No new development w… https://t.co/loot7LiiDQ

Posted July 10, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Also, the new cohort of rising cases in ~60% of the country is critical. People *may* have been able to buy into a recovery narrative by November if there had been two seasons' of improvement by then. But now we're also going to have a lost summer and school is dicey for fall. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 10, 2020 Hibernated