Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 19, 2020

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Fri Jun 26 18:28:01 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Obviously some of that gets to the nature of exponential growth. An R of 1.3 isn't *that* different than an R of 1.1, but played out over a few weeks, it makes a lot of difference. Still, a more complete story probably includes premature re-openings coupled with other stuff. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 26, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Something to think about: re-openings have been occurring gradually since late April in different states/counties. If you had a metric averaging out how open different states are, it would likely show a fairly linear pattern. So why is there a nonlinear increase in cases now? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 26, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

What other stuff? Two things seem worth pointing out. First, there seems to be some correlation with greater spread in states where it's hot and people are spending more time indoors with the AC on. That *is* a bit nonlinear; there's much more demand for AC in June than May. https://t.co/nf9lL92uUI — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 26, 2020 Hibernated