Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 19, 2020

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Fri Jun 26 18:28:01 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

What other stuff? Two things seem worth pointing out. First, there seems to be some correlation with greater spread in states where it's hot and people are spending more time indoors with the AC on. That *is* a bit nonlinear; there's much more demand for AC in June than May. https://t.co/nf9lL92uUI — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 26, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Obviously some of that gets to the nature of exponential growth. An R of 1.3 isn't *that* different than an R of 1.1, but played out over a few weeks, it makes a lot of difference. Still, a more complete story probably includes premature re-openings coupled with other stuff. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 26, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

And second, the conversation around social distancing changed a lot in early June with the protests and Trump making plans to resume his rallies. And COVID was no longer the lead story. Not blaming anyone here. But the timing is pertinent if people felt like "lockdowns are over". — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 26, 2020 Hibernated