Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 11, 2020

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Wed Jun 17 23:16:05 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Probably also some effects due to weather, as mentioned before. If you control for the total number ever infected and google searches for "air conditioning" (as a proxy for people being indoors vs. outdoors) Trump margin of victory has no effect on current R. https://t.co/YTyvOZX56B — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 17, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This graph compares the total number ever infected via @youyanggu versus current estimates of R via https://t.co/LwOqS5Fl1c. There is a strong (correlation = -0.69) inverse relationship. The *less* COVID a state had before, the *faster* it's spreading now. https://t.co/Hm4gKAPUyW — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 17, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Hey folks, we've got our general election polling averages up! These will update continuously through November. Joe Biden currently leads Trump by 9.2 points nationally. https://t.co/cy51vc5isJ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 18, 2020 Hibernated