Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 11, 2020

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Thu Jun 18 14:04:26 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Hey folks, we've got our general election polling averages up! These will update continuously through November. Joe Biden currently leads Trump by 9.2 points nationally. https://t.co/cy51vc5isJ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 18, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Probably also some effects due to weather, as mentioned before. If you control for the total number ever infected and google searches for "air conditioning" (as a proxy for people being indoors vs. outdoors) Trump margin of victory has no effect on current R. https://t.co/YTyvOZX56B — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 17, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I see there's breaking SCOTUS news, so I'll save a longer thread for a bit later. But here's a story detailing what we're doing here. This is not our forecast model (so no probabilities yet, those will come later) but there's a lot of work in these. https://t.co/FxbzezloWI — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 18, 2020 Hibernated