Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 11, 2020

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Mon Jun 15 19:53:40 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Elasticity ratings for 2020! Elasticity scores reflect how much a state’s polls would be expected to change based on a change in national. e.g. if Idaho’s elasticity score is 1.1, a 5-point swing in national polls would be expected to produce a 1.1 x 5 = 5.5-point swing in Idaho. https://t.co/9BIk53SsSw — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 15, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Maybe also noteworthy that Trump has lost ground more than Biden has gained it. There may be some R-leaning voters who are just fed up with things right now but could come back to Trump later. Then again, Biden is >=50% right now, whereas Clinton peaked at 46% in national polls. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 15, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mattyglesias https://t.co/EXvEP5u5Yw — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 15, 2020 Hibernated