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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 11, 2020

Created

Mon Jun 15 19:57:09 +0000 2020

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80

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4

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mattyglesias https://t.co/EXvEP5u5Yw — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 15, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Elasticity ratings for 2020! Elasticity scores reflect how much a state’s polls would be expected to change based on a change in national. e.g. if Idaho’s elasticity score is 1.1, a 5-point swing in national polls would be expected to produce a 1.1 x 5 = 5.5-point swing in Idaho. https://t.co/9BIk53SsSw — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 15, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Yeah. Religious white Christians are the most reliably Republican voters. Black voters are the most reliably Democratic ones (other nonwhite groups to a slightly lesser degree). So states with a lot of irreligious whites tend to be swingy. — PolitiTweet.org

Patrick Ruffini @PatrickRuffini

Very correlated with % of black voters https://t.co/cEm0eyaGTi

Posted June 15, 2020 Hibernated

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