Tweet by @NateSilver538

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

When I've seen smart technical criticisms of IHME, I've tried to amplify/add to those (see below). It's also not my field, though, so as an outsider, my comments are going be more tempered than they would be for say an election or NBA model. https://t.co/ji4cAJgpjV — PolitiTweet.org

Thread. It looks like the IHME model is fond of drawing curves that are quite symmetric, i.e. they expect deaths to… https://t.co/9Cd4K4z1zN

Posted May 3, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I do express empathy with IHME in the interview—and have expressed it on Twitter too—because 1) building models is hard 2) criticizing them is easy and 3) some of the criticisms are dumb. But I don't think I've offered much praise for the technical details behind their approach. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 3, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Apart from warmer weather, it's also worth keeping in mind that we're getting to the point in time when a lot of people expected the lockdowns to end. Here is some polling data on that: https://t.co/VcIixdC1mu https://t.co/11bEE4srrR — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 3, 2020 Hibernated