Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 20, 2020

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Sun May 03 22:22:52 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I do express empathy with IHME in the interview—and have expressed it on Twitter too—because 1) building models is hard 2) criticizing them is easy and 3) some of the criticisms are dumb. But I don't think I've offered much praise for the technical details behind their approach. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 3, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This is a weird comment, Eric, and not an accurate characterization of the interview w/IHME. People should listen for themselves. A lot of our questions are implicitly or explicitly critical. But it is an interview, not a critique (or an endorsement). https://t.co/6pGN4XOJcX — PolitiTweet.org

Why #COVID19 predictive models aren't working well (I'm adding that @WhiteHouse finally dropped @IHME_UW yesterday… https://t.co/ghjrnM8cOq

Posted May 3, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

When I've seen smart technical criticisms of IHME, I've tried to amplify/add to those (see below). It's also not my field, though, so as an outsider, my comments are going be more tempered than they would be for say an election or NBA model. https://t.co/ji4cAJgpjV — PolitiTweet.org

Thread. It looks like the IHME model is fond of drawing curves that are quite symmetric, i.e. they expect deaths to… https://t.co/9Cd4K4z1zN

Posted May 3, 2020 Hibernated