Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 20, 2020

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Sun May 03 15:55:49 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Results? The most important variables, as I teased at, are Trump's margin of victory and weather. People are moving around more in red states, and they're moving around more in states where spring/summer weather is much nicer than winter weather. https://t.co/ST9UnkL1fw — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 3, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

5) Weather, measured as the change from average summer temperatures to average winter temperatures in a state. The change is what counts here since Apple's baseline mobility data was captured in the winter. It shows which states are warming up the most. https://t.co/tBJCamrIfC — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 3, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

People are moving around less in states with more COVID-19 deaths, but it's not a huge effect. Whether a state is formally re-open doesn't seem to matter that much, but note that openness/closure is correlated with these other variables so that makes it a bit tricky to evaluate. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 3, 2020 Hibernated