Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated Yes

Last Checked Oct. 20, 2020

Created

Sun May 03 15:53:49 +0000 2020

Likes

158

Retweets

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

5) Weather, measured as the change from average summer temperatures to average winter temperatures in a state. The change is what counts here since Apple's baseline mobility data was captured in the winter. It shows which states are warming up the most. https://t.co/tBJCamrIfC — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 3, 2020 Hibernated

Preceded By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

For explanatory variables, I looked at the following: 1) Where a state is on the spectrum between "open" and "closed", per the NYT: https://t.co/7FrL01jcwB 2) The number of COVID-19 deaths per-capita. 3) Trump's margin of victory in '16. 4) Urbanization: https://t.co/GONEVDLgSe — PolitiTweet.org

If you calculate this number for each person (well, each Census Tract) in the state, take the natural logarithm, th… https://t.co/wJ5CZIr0wA

Posted May 3, 2020 Hibernated

Followed By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Results? The most important variables, as I teased at, are Trump's margin of victory and weather. People are moving around more in red states, and they're moving around more in states where spring/summer weather is much nicer than winter weather. https://t.co/ST9UnkL1fw — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 3, 2020 Hibernated