Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 20, 2020

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Sun May 03 15:58:33 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

People are moving around less in states with more COVID-19 deaths, but it's not a huge effect. Whether a state is formally re-open doesn't seem to matter that much, but note that openness/closure is correlated with these other variables so that makes it a bit tricky to evaluate. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 3, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Results? The most important variables, as I teased at, are Trump's margin of victory and weather. People are moving around more in red states, and they're moving around more in states where spring/summer weather is much nicer than winter weather. https://t.co/ST9UnkL1fw — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 3, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In certain ways, it's good that weather seems to have big effects. If people just want to be outdoors more and that's what most of the increased mobility reflects, that is probably less risky than other activities (assuming good social distancing is being practiced, etc.) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 3, 2020 Hibernated