Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 12, 2020

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Tue Apr 28 17:05:25 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I think Cuomo/NY deserve a lot of credit for explicitly saying what the policy is and attaching concrete benchmarks to it. Note also that there are actually 2 constraints, that pertain to both the growth rate and the level: R must be <1.1 and hospitals/ICUs must be <70% capacity. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 28, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@thecity2 @kmedved I would say that countries have been surprisingly good at "guessing" the right level of R to match what I perceive to be their (often not explicitly stated) policy objectives. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 28, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

We do have better data now on what % of infections result in hospitalizations. That can help to design better policy, also. In NY (both NYC and Upstate) about 2% of *infections* (*not* known cases) have produced hospitalizations if you believe the state's seroprevalence numbers. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 28, 2020 Hibernated