Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 12, 2020

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Tue Apr 28 16:58:29 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@thecity2 @kmedved I would say that countries have been surprisingly good at "guessing" the right level of R to match what I perceive to be their (often not explicitly stated) policy objectives. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 28, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@thecity2 @kmedved It's Sweden-adjacent. But Sweden didn't have the period of suppression up front, and I think Sweden is implicitly targeting an R in the low 1's, rather than ~1.0. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 28, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I think Cuomo/NY deserve a lot of credit for explicitly saying what the policy is and attaching concrete benchmarks to it. Note also that there are actually 2 constraints, that pertain to both the growth rate and the level: R must be <1.1 and hospitals/ICUs must be <70% capacity. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 28, 2020 Hibernated