Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 12, 2020

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Tue Apr 28 16:47:06 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@thecity2 @kmedved It's Sweden-adjacent. But Sweden didn't have the period of suppression up front, and I think Sweden is implicitly targeting an R in the low 1's, rather than ~1.0. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 28, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@kmedved He's talking about the opposite, re-opening Upstate first. But, yeah, we'll see. Plausible that it will be surprisingly "easy" to keep R low-ish in NYC if those serology numbers are right. Also possible it merely offsets factors that make R inherently high in NYC. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 28, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@thecity2 @kmedved I would say that countries have been surprisingly good at "guessing" the right level of R to match what I perceive to be their (often not explicitly stated) policy objectives. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 28, 2020 Hibernated