Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 3, 2020

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Mon Apr 20 23:19:29 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Nationally this ratio is 0.19 in the average state to have recently updated its cumulative hospitalization data, with a standard deviation of +/- 0.06. New York state is at 0.25 which is one SD above the mean, so it's definitely on the high side but not some crazy outlier. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 20, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

A worthwhile question is whether NYC had higher fatality rates than it otherwise would because of overwhelmed hospitals. One indication could be if the ratio of deaths to hospitalizations is high, which might indicate i) people avoiding hospitals or ii) not getting adequate care. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 20, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In New York City, the ratio is 0.26 using confirmed deaths, although it jumps up to 0.39 if you use the city's count of *probable* deaths. It's not obvious to me which count to prefer here (how are other states/cities handling cases that NYC would consider probable deaths?). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 20, 2020 Hibernated