Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 3, 2020

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Mon Apr 20 23:19:29 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

A worthwhile question is whether NYC had higher fatality rates than it otherwise would because of overwhelmed hospitals. One indication could be if the ratio of deaths to hospitalizations is high, which might indicate i) people avoiding hospitals or ii) not getting adequate care. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 20, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@asymmetricinfo The rate actually has begun to decelerate pretty quickly in NYC and the dynamics of what you'd expect to see happen given various infection rates are fairly complicated given different R0s among different subgroups, as you mention. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 20, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Nationally this ratio is 0.19 in the average state to have recently updated its cumulative hospitalization data, with a standard deviation of +/- 0.06. New York state is at 0.25 which is one SD above the mean, so it's definitely on the high side but not some crazy outlier. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 20, 2020 Hibernated