Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 3, 2020

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Mon Apr 20 23:19:30 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In New York City, the ratio is 0.26 using confirmed deaths, although it jumps up to 0.39 if you use the city's count of *probable* deaths. It's not obvious to me which count to prefer here (how are other states/cities handling cases that NYC would consider probable deaths?). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 20, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Nationally this ratio is 0.19 in the average state to have recently updated its cumulative hospitalization data, with a standard deviation of +/- 0.06. New York state is at 0.25 which is one SD above the mean, so it's definitely on the high side but not some crazy outlier. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 20, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

No super pithy, definitive conclusion. Just think this sort of data may be worth looking at in a less quick-and-dirty fashion than I did here. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 20, 2020 Hibernated