Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated Yes

Last Checked Oct. 2, 2020

Created

Sat Apr 18 14:04:38 +0000 2020

Likes

309

Retweets

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Taken as a whole, those studies seem to suggest it's possible—but hardly certain—that the ratio of total infections to detected cases is higher than the ~10x ratio commonly cited. But the thing is there's not just going to be one universal ratio; it will vary from place to place. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 18, 2020 Hibernated

Preceded By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

There are at least ~a dozen studies already that attempt to measure seroprevalence (how many people were infected) for COVID-19 in various parts of the world. Will likely be dozens more in a few weeks. I'm seeing analysis of e.g. the Santa Clara Co study that take it in a vacuum. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 18, 2020 Hibernated

Followed By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Testing capacity probably varies by something like 10x across different major Western countries. It also probably varies by something like 3x-5x across different US states. So you could easily have some places that are detecting 1.5% of their infections, and some that detect 15%. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 18, 2020 Hibernated