Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 30, 2020

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Wed Apr 15 14:39:35 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In fact, you might expect regulations to gradually be let up (say, NY permits small gatherings in one's home and a few more services like barbershops) which could make things more asymmetric, not less. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 15, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Yeah, how steep the downslope is reflects choices societies are making. And the equilibrium, at least in Western countries, seems to be that they're closing enough stuff down to produce a decline (good!) but not a particularly fast one. — PolitiTweet.org

@NateSilver538 Yeah, the way I thought about it is that they keep the shape of a catastrophic outbreak even if coun… https://t.co/40g9nii7o3

Posted April 15, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

There are other factors that could cut down on transmission, too. (Weather, some degree of herd immunity in areas where a lot of people have it; better technology, etc.) But if you wind up with symmetry, it will be mostly by coincidence, not some sort of inevitable process. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 15, 2020 Hibernated