Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 30, 2020

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Wed Apr 15 14:42:34 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

There are other factors that could cut down on transmission, too. (Weather, some degree of herd immunity in areas where a lot of people have it; better technology, etc.) But if you wind up with symmetry, it will be mostly by coincidence, not some sort of inevitable process. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 15, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In fact, you might expect regulations to gradually be let up (say, NY permits small gatherings in one's home and a few more services like barbershops) which could make things more asymmetric, not less. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 15, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Something else I discovered about the IHME projections at the site listed below. They very sharply reduced their estimates of the number of hospitalizations. The current projections have only about 1/5 as many hospital beds required as their original ones. https://t.co/fT04dhj6xD https://t.co/fJnB9R68f6 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 15, 2020 Hibernated