Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 30, 2020

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Wed Apr 15 14:35:02 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Yeah, how steep the downslope is reflects choices societies are making. And the equilibrium, at least in Western countries, seems to be that they're closing enough stuff down to produce a decline (good!) but not a particularly fast one. — PolitiTweet.org

@NateSilver538 Yeah, the way I thought about it is that they keep the shape of a catastrophic outbreak even if coun… https://t.co/40g9nii7o3

Posted April 15, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@joshtpm Right, that's the counter: that he pursued a high-ceiling, low-floor strategy, in which he was likely to wind up with a lot of 2nd/3rd place finishes, but relatively few wins. I mostly agree with that. But I also think many things about what Bernie did were very impressive. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 15, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In fact, you might expect regulations to gradually be let up (say, NY permits small gatherings in one's home and a few more services like barbershops) which could make things more asymmetric, not less. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 15, 2020 Hibernated