Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 30, 2020

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Wed Apr 15 14:14:05 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Indeed asymmetry is what you might expect given best guesses about how well social distancing works. Here are curves from Imperial College, for instance, which imagine turning social on & off. Note that they're somewhat asymmetric; cases don't decline quite as fast as they rose. https://t.co/JVFSAlhmCM — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 15, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Instead, we're seeing signs of asymmetry. In New York, things do look like they're getting noticeably better, but they're not getting better as quickly as they're got worse. Same in Italy; there's a decline in deaths, but it's not particularly symmetric. Spain is more ambiguous. https://t.co/D6B0cGr8Pu — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 15, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I think Bernie made a lot of mistakes, but one of the funny things is you get a lot more criticism if you're the 2nd-place candidate than if you're the 17th-place candidate, when it should be the other way around. Bernie did a lot of stuff that worked pretty well. — PolitiTweet.org

Bernie has been subjected to a thousand postmortems so it's probably worth asking what everyone else in the field d… https://t.co/KnIfe4C0Gd

Posted April 15, 2020 Hibernated