Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 22, 2020

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Fri Apr 10 02:01:32 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

1) Under one interpretation, you accept it as inevitable that a certain fraction of the population will eventually get COVID-19, until you reach herd immunity. But you want to spread those cases out over a longer period of time. So the disease is still growing but not super fast. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 10, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'm seeing people mean (at least) two different things when they use the phrase "flatten the curve" and they have different (somewhat opposite) implications for when the peak will be and whether it will come sooner or later. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 10, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In practice, this means aiming for an R (reproduction number) a little bit *above* 1. Eventually, enough people have gotten it so that many are immune, which knocks R below 1, and new cases start to fall. This could take several months; the peak will take longer to come. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 10, 2020 Hibernated