Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 22, 2020

Created

Fri Apr 10 02:01:32 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'm seeing people mean (at least) two different things when they use the phrase "flatten the curve" and they have different (somewhat opposite) implications for when the peak will be and whether it will come sooner or later. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 10, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@chrislhayes I don't know that the CFR is a great metric when there are disputes over whether we're undercounting cases by 5x or 10x or instead say 50x or 100x. And evidence suggesting transmissibility is higher would tend to imply that we're undercounting cases by more rather than less. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 10, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

1) Under one interpretation, you accept it as inevitable that a certain fraction of the population will eventually get COVID-19, until you reach herd immunity. But you want to spread those cases out over a longer period of time. So the disease is still growing but not super fast. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 10, 2020 Hibernated