Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 22, 2020

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Fri Apr 10 00:00:37 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@chrislhayes I don't know that the CFR is a great metric when there are disputes over whether we're undercounting cases by 5x or 10x or instead say 50x or 100x. And evidence suggesting transmissibility is higher would tend to imply that we're undercounting cases by more rather than less. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 10, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@chrislhayes I don't know if that's right, FWIW. It looks to me about what the experts expected a few weeks ago. My impression is some of recent the evidence might suggest slightly more transmissible but slightly less deadly but until there are widespread serological tests, it's hard to know. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 9, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'm seeing people mean (at least) two different things when they use the phrase "flatten the curve" and they have different (somewhat opposite) implications for when the peak will be and whether it will come sooner or later. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 10, 2020 Hibernated