Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 20, 2020

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Tue Apr 07 17:25:30 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'm especially perplexed by the "NEW PARADIGM!!" stuff when it comes from people who think markets (in a broad sense) are reasonably efficient because it's not at all obvious why the equilibrium 12-18+ months (post-vaccine) from today should greatly differ from the one today. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 7, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mattyglesias In between Q and S. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 7, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

"Pandemic risk was underpriced in Europe and N. America (though not in Asia) and will now be approximately properly priced" is a reasonable hypothesis, but the societal changes that flow from that are probably an order of magnitude less sweeping than these polemics would assume. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 7, 2020 Hibernated