Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 20, 2020

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Sun Apr 05 21:33:20 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

To put this in a super dorky way, the shape that an epidemic curve takes is not actually exponential but sigmoidal (S-shaped / it levels off at some point) and putting a sigmoid on a log scale makes it harder to see when you hit the inflection point and start leveling off. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 5, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The US's slope has flattened quite a bit in recent days, especially in New York. Not necessarily flattened any more or less than you'd expect. But it has flattened. And it's quite hard to pick that up from those charts. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 5, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

*Fewer* new US cases today (26,553) than yesterday (33,767) although the news isn't *quite* as good as it looks. Reporting is often slow on Sundays and the number of tests is bouncing around a fair bit as various backlogs are resolved. — PolitiTweet.org

Our daily update is published. We’ve now tracked a total of 1.76 million tests, up 138k from yesterday. Note that… https://t.co/x6B5kTASJa

Posted April 5, 2020 Hibernated