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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 20, 2020

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Sun Apr 05 21:50:59 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

*Fewer* new US cases today (26,553) than yesterday (33,767) although the news isn't *quite* as good as it looks. Reporting is often slow on Sundays and the number of tests is bouncing around a fair bit as various backlogs are resolved. — PolitiTweet.org

The COVID Tracking Project @COVID19Tracking

Our daily update is published. We’ve now tracked a total of 1.76 million tests, up 138k from yesterday. Note that… https://t.co/x6B5kTASJa

Posted April 5, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

To put this in a super dorky way, the shape that an epidemic curve takes is not actually exponential but sigmoidal (S-shaped / it levels off at some point) and putting a sigmoid on a log scale makes it harder to see when you hit the inflection point and start leveling off. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 5, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Maybe this is a better comparison: 26,553 new US cases today as compared to 20,827 last Sunday. Already pretty flat. And that's on 138,243 newly reported tests today vs. 95,647 last Sunday. So that does look encouraging. The social distancing we're all doing is really helping. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 5, 2020 Hibernated