Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 20, 2020

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Sun Apr 05 21:17:15 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The US's slope has flattened quite a bit in recent days, especially in New York. Not necessarily flattened any more or less than you'd expect. But it has flattened. And it's quite hard to pick that up from those charts. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 5, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Another issue with charts drawn on a log scale is that they literally compress what has been happening *recently* when the stakes are very high (10s of thousands) while placing a lot of visual emphasis on what the slope was when you were going from say 10 cases or deaths to 100. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 5, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

To put this in a super dorky way, the shape that an epidemic curve takes is not actually exponential but sigmoidal (S-shaped / it levels off at some point) and putting a sigmoid on a log scale makes it harder to see when you hit the inflection point and start leveling off. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 5, 2020 Hibernated