Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated Yes

Last Checked Sept. 20, 2020

Created

Sun Apr 05 14:58:19 +0000 2020

Likes

1,041

Retweets

Source

Twitter for Android

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Hot take: if the economic election models don't work because of a coronavirus-induced recession that probably means the economic models never worked that well to begin with and were just p-hacked to significance a small sample size. — PolitiTweet.org

I also have a long rant about how economic “fundamentals” models do still apply right now, but you have to account… https://t.co/Vs24LQ46Lj

Posted April 5, 2020 Hibernated

Preceded By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Namely, that people will find this experience quite traumatizing, and the substitutes for in-person interaction rather unsatisfactory, and people will place a greater premium on in-person interactions once this is *truly* all over (that is 18+ months from now / post-vaccine). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 5, 2020 Hibernated

Followed By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Corollary: the more robustly- designed models should work better than the ones that were overfit/p-hacked by, say, only using 2Q GDP instead of a broader range of measures over a longer time frame. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 5, 2020 Hibernated