Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 20, 2020

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Sun Apr 05 04:14:22 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Namely, that people will find this experience quite traumatizing, and the substitutes for in-person interaction rather unsatisfactory, and people will place a greater premium on in-person interactions once this is *truly* all over (that is 18+ months from now / post-vaccine). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 5, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Feels like it's very fashionable (at least on this platform) to say "see, all this in-person interaction was unnecessary and in certain ways dangerous and the new equilibrium will shift toward greater distancing". Maybe! But I find it equally plausible that the opposite is true. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 5, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Hot take: if the economic election models don't work because of a coronavirus-induced recession that probably means the economic models never worked that well to begin with and were just p-hacked to significance a small sample size. — PolitiTweet.org

I also have a long rant about how economic “fundamentals” models do still apply right now, but you have to account… https://t.co/Vs24LQ46Lj

Posted April 5, 2020 Hibernated